
Markets · · 9 min read
Can you buy Anthropic stock before the IPO?
Not directly: Anthropic voids unapproved share sales. Three real routes exist, and the arithmetic on each, from Amazon's and Alphabet's own filings, is smaller than the headlines suggest.
No. Not directly, not for an ordinary investor, and not through the websites that say otherwise. Anthropic's board has to approve every transfer of its shares, and on 12 May 2026 the company named eight platforms offering its stock and said any sale through them "is void and will not be recognized on our books and records". That closes the front door until the shares list.
Three side doors are real, and each is smaller than it looks. You can own the two public companies that hold the biggest stakes, Alphabet and Amazon, and get a few cents of Anthropic per dollar. You can buy a fund that holds the private shares, and pay a premium for the privilege that has run past 100%. Or you can wait for the listing itself, expected on Nasdaq in October according to reports the company has not confirmed, and ask your broker for shares at the offer price, which worked for about 30% of SpaceX's deal in June. This post is the arithmetic on each door, from the filings, with the date on every number.
What is confirmed, and what is a report
Confirmed by Anthropic itself: it submitted a draft registration statement to the SEC on 1 June 2026, confidentially, which means the document exists and nobody outside the company and the regulator has read it. Confirmed by the company's own announcement of 28 May: a $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation, led by Altimeter, Dragoneer, Greenoaks and Sequoia, and a revenue run-rate that "crossed $47 billion earlier this month".
Reported, not confirmed: a Nasdaq listing in October, a raise above $60 billion, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley as the lead banks, and a valuation that some investors are said to want at $2 trillion. Those come from Bloomberg, Business Insider, Forbes and others between March and September, and Anthropic has said none of them out loud. There is no ticker. I searched the SEC's public filing system on 18 September 2026 for a public Anthropic registration statement: none yet. Until it appears there is no price range, no share count, no list of who is selling, and no way to know what a share is worth. Everything below is about owning a piece of the company before that document exists, which is a different and stranger thing than buying a stock.
Door one: the shareholders you can buy today
The two largest outside holders are listed companies, and their quarterly reports say more than any IPO preview does.
Amazon. Its report for the quarter to 30 June 2026, filed on 31 July, lays it out. From late 2023 to the end of 2025 Amazon put $8 billion into Anthropic convertible notes. In the second quarter of 2026 it added $10 billion of preferred stock, and it has a further $15 billion available under a facility tied to Anthropic buying computing capacity from AWS. At 30 June the notes alone were carried at $97.9 billion, and the preferred stock sits inside a $122.3 billion line that also holds the OpenAI stake Amazon bought this year for $28.7 billion. Amazon has not published a percentage. Fortune, reading the same filings, puts the stake in the "mid to high teens", and the filing itself refers to an ownership cap.
Call it roughly $190 billion of Anthropic on Amazon's own books at the end of June, marked to the $965 billion round. That is my arithmetic: the notes plus the private-company line less the OpenAI cost. Amazon's shares were worth $2.68 trillion at the close on 15 September (10.79 billion shares at $248.42, from our tables). So about 7% of what you buy when you buy Amazon is Anthropic, and a $10,000 position in Amazon holds roughly $700 of it. If the listing prices at $2 trillion, roughly double those: about 15%, about $1,500.
The same filing shows what the stake has already done to Amazon's numbers. Amazon wrote its Anthropic preferred stock up by $50.5 billion in the second quarter alone. Amazon's entire net income for 2025 was $77.7 billion (annual report filed 6 February 2026, our tables). One quarter's paper gain on one investment was two thirds of a year's profit from everything else Amazon does, and the first half of 2026 carried $15.9 billion of tax expense on those gains, booked before any share has been sold.
Alphabet. Its report for the same quarter, filed 23 July, never names Anthropic. It says its non-marketable equity investments, carried at $124.3 billion at 30 June, "primarily consist of our investment in a private company", that $87.9 billion of that was remeasured in the quarter, and that it has committed up to $20 billion more to that company against milestones through 2030. The name comes from elsewhere: court documents reported by the New York Times in March 2025 put Google's holding at about 14%, contractually capped at 15%.
Fourteen percent of $965 billion is $135 billion. Alphabet's shares were worth $4.22 trillion on 15 September (12.23 billion shares at $344.98). About 3% of Alphabet is Anthropic; a $10,000 position holds roughly $320 of it, or about $650 at a $2 trillion listing.
That is door one, and it is worth saying plainly: buying Amazon or Alphabet is buying Amazon or Alphabet. The 93% and the 97% are a retailer with a cloud business and an advertising company with a cloud business, and their prices move on their own results. If Anthropic doubles after listing and Amazon's retail margins slip, the Amazon holder can lose money on the trade. The stake is a feature of the company, not a way to own the other one.
Door two: funds that hold the private shares
Some funds an ordinary investor can buy do hold Anthropic shares, bought in the funding rounds or from approved sellers, and they publish the percentage. NerdWallet's list, read on 17 September: Destiny Tech100 (ticker DXYZ) reported 14.42% of its assets in Anthropic at 30 June 2026; three BlackRock closed-end trusts (BTX, BST and BSTZ) reported between 4.6% and 7.2% at 31 July; two Alger ETFs reported 5.2% and 2.7%. Counted at asset value, $10,000 in the most concentrated of them holds about $1,400 of Anthropic, twice what Amazon gives you.
The catch is the price of the fund itself. A closed-end fund trades at whatever buyers pay, not at the value of what it holds, and when a fund is the only retail route into a name everyone wants, buyers pay a lot. In May 2026 DXYZ traded at $61.66 a share against a net asset value of $24.56, a premium of 151% (Morningstar). At that price a buyer pays $2.51 for each dollar of holdings, so $10,000 buys about $4,000 of assets, of which Anthropic is one seventh: about $575. The other $9,400 went to the premium and to the rest of the fund. The premium is from May and the holding from June, so check both on the day; the shape of the sum does not change.
The second catch is the warning in the first paragraph. Anthropic's notice covered sales not approved by its board. Whether a fund's shares came with that approval is the fund's claim to make, and NerdWallet noted that Destiny describes its holding as "economic exposure" rather than shares. I have no way to check that from outside, and neither do you. What you can check is the fund's latest report and the premium on the day you buy, and the second number is the one that decides whether the trade makes sense before Anthropic's price does anything at all.
Door three: the listing itself
If the reports hold, the front door opens in October. Two things about it are worth knowing before then.
First, ordinary investors can get shares at the offer price, but only some. SpaceX, the largest listing in history on 12 June 2026, set aside about 30% of its shares for retail buyers through a handful of brokers, Robinhood and SoFi among them (Motley Fool, 16 September). Allocation on those platforms is random and partial; Robinhood's own rules say each request has the same chance of getting all, some or none of the shares asked for. Anthropic's brokers and its retail share have not been announced. When the public prospectus lands, the list is in it.
Second, the offer price is not the price you will see on the day. SpaceX priced at $135, opened at $150 and closed its first day at $160.95, a 19% gain for whoever held shares at the offer. Anyone who bought at the open paid $150 for a share that closed at $143.49 on 15 September, three months and 4% later, and that closed below the $135 offer price on 19 days between mid-July and 20 August, as low as $108.27 (our price table). The people who did well on day one were the ones who had shares before it began. The people who bought at the open were the market they sold into.
What the prospectus will settle
When the public document arrives it will contain the things the headlines cannot: revenue by period rather than a run-rate, the losses, the cost of computing, the share classes and who controls the votes, how many shares existing holders are selling versus how many the company is issuing, the lock-up dates on which insiders may sell, and the public benefit corporation structure that lets the board weigh things other than shareholder return. Each of those moves what a share is worth, and none of them are public today.
We will not have Anthropic on our own site for a while after it lists. Our coverage leaves out recent listings until there is enough filed history to score, on purpose, and I would rather tell you that here than have you search for it in October and find nothing. What we do have is the two companies in door one. The sample report is Amazon, every page of it, so you can read the company you would actually be buying, the 93% that is not Anthropic: what it earns, what it owes, where the money is made. The full Amazon report is open to anyone, and the Stock Deep Dive sends the same for Alphabet or any other company we cover, as a PDF by email, usually within minutes. No card, one per person.
Sources for the figures above: Anthropic's notice on secondary sales as reported by TechCrunch on 12 May 2026, with the company's wording; the confidential submission and the funding round from Anthropic's own announcements of 1 June and 28 May 2026; Amazon's quarterly report for the period to 30 June 2026 (filed 31 July) and Alphabet's for the same period (filed 23 July), both read on the SEC's system on 17 September, and the system searched again for an Anthropic prospectus on 18 September; Google's stake percentage from court documents as reported by the New York Times in March 2025, via Fortune; fund holdings from NerdWallet, read 17 September, with each fund's as-of date; the DXYZ premium from Morningstar, May 2026; SpaceX's retail allocation and first-day prices from CNBC and Forbes, 12 June 2026; Amazon's and Alphabet's share counts, prices and Amazon's 2025 net income from our own tables as of 15 September 2026. The percentages of Amazon and Alphabet that Anthropic represents are my arithmetic on those figures, with the assumptions stated.
Educational and proprietary. This explains what our research does, not the exact formula behind it, and it is not personalised investment advice. See the full disclaimer.
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